TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015557
Played Aug 26Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121188111210311
Matej Holub
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:20 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Matej Holub below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 96 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 62.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 1–4 Matej Holub Stepan Vyskocil has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Holub
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1675 vs Holub 1589
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Holub 40%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 70% vs Holub 30%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +1 · Holub +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.61 / Holub 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vyskocil)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13015557
Vyskocil1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Holub2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 34 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVyskocil1wins
AwayHolub4wins
4 of 5 to a deciderHolub leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskociln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHolub100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil1Holub4n = 5Holub took 4 of 5
S2Vyskocil2Holub3n = 5Holub took 3 of 5
S3Vyskocil3Holub2n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S4Vyskocil3Holub2n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S5Vyskocil1Holub3n = 4Holub took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVyskocilHolubV − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match43.647.2−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 181 vs 102 / 18154.7%56.4%99 / 181 vs 102 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.61/Holub 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil—101181232M. Holub—1281110113
LAug 20 · 13:09S. Vyskocil—971161M. Holub—11115113
LAug 20 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—65111182M. Holub—111174113
WAug 17 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—1115118123M. Holub—917811102
LJun 25 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—411111162M. Holub—114138113
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
M. Holub10
WSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113
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