TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13012904
Played Aug 25Finished
Jan Muska
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117119611911
Stepan Vyskocil
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJan Muska to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Muska above · Stepan Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Muska at 55.8%
94 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Muska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Muska 1712 vs Vyskocil 1680
Muska
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Muska 60% vs Vyskocil 100%
Vyskocil
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Muska 70% vs Vyskocil 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Muska +3 · Vyskocil +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Muska) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuska 1.53 / Vyskocil 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Muska)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13012904
Muska1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite46% won 13 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it59% 10 of 17
Vyskocil2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuskaVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 85 vs 97 / 17749.4%54.8%42 / 85 vs 97 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuskaMuska 1.53/Vyskocil 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Muska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vyskocil won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Muska10
LAug 27 · 16:35J. Ruzicka2.201211113J. Muska1.6110960WAug 26 · 17:05J. Muska1.7311119113M. Mastera2.00891191WAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska1.73981112113M. Mastera2.00111191082LAug 26 · 14:05D. Lengal1.73661111113J. Muska2.0011118962LAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192WAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580WAug 25 · 14:05J. Muska1.67111147113P. Chvatal2.1095111182WAug 19 · 13:04J. Muska1.361191114113M. Holub3.0041151672WAug 19 · 12:35J. Muska1.531211113M. Holub2.3810940LAug 19 · 11:05D. Lengal1.6771515123J. Muska2.10111313101
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
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