TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011271
Played Aug 25Finished
Jiri Hanak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911611––––
Stepan Vyskocil
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:06 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hanak above · Stepan Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 59.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hanak 2–0 Stepan Vyskocil Stepan Vyskocil has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hanak 1658 vs Vyskocil 1667
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanak 40% vs Vyskocil 80%
Vyskocil
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanak 60% vs Vyskocil 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanak +1 · Vyskocil +4
Vyskocil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanak) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanak 1.80 / Vyskocil 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hanak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13011271
Hanak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite87% won 13 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Vyskocil1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHanak2wins
AwayVyskocil0wins
Hanak leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHanakVyskocilH − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.037.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanakVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 66 vs 96 / 17659.1%54.6%39 / 66 vs 96 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanakHanak 1.80/Vyskocil 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 13 · 17:05J. Hanak—14125113S. Vyskocil—12101181
WDec 27 · 17:35J. Hanak—81111123S. Vyskocil—1158101
J. Hanak10
LAug 26 · 13:05J. Hanak1.802940M. Holub1.911111113LAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:05J. Hanak1.5381111113M. Holub2.38119661LAug 26 · 10:05J. Hanak1.501181211112R. Fitl2.50511146133LAug 25 · 17:10J. Hanak1.44411161P. Chvatal2.6311119113LAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580WAug 25 · 15:35P. Chvatal2.63512761J. Hanak1.44111011113WApr 24 · 13:05J. Babinek—10101191J. Hanak—12122113LApr 24 · 12:35F. Karel—1412113J. Hanak—121050LApr 24 · 11:35J. Hanak1.7912711592J. Babinek1.881011911113
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
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