TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015827
Played Aug 26Finished
Jiri Hanak
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119116116––
Matej Holub
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Hanak to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hanak above · Matej Holub below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Hanak at 60.8%
73 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hanak 1604 vs Holub 1575
Hanak
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanak 20% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanak 30% vs Holub 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanak -3 · Holub +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanak 1.53 / Holub 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hanak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13015827
Hanak1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite78% won 14 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Holub2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 34 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanakHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 71 vs 102 / 18156.3%56.4%40 / 71 vs 102 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanakHanak 1.53/Holub 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Hanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hanak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Hanak10
LAug 26 · 13:05J. Hanak1.802940M. Holub1.911111113LAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113LAug 26 · 10:05J. Hanak1.501181211112R. Fitl2.50511146133LAug 25 · 17:10J. Hanak1.44411161P. Chvatal2.6311119113LAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580WAug 25 · 15:35P. Chvatal2.63512761J. Hanak1.44111011113LAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WApr 24 · 13:05J. Babinek—10101191J. Hanak—12122113LApr 24 · 12:35F. Karel—1412113J. Hanak—121050LApr 24 · 11:35J. Hanak1.7912711592J. Babinek1.881011911113
M. Holub10
WSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113WAug 26 · 13:05J. Hanak1.802940M. Holub1.911111113
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