TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015522
Played Aug 26Finished
Jiri Hanak
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11581112141161113
Radek Fitl
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hanak above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 102 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Radek Fitl at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:10What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hanak 1618 vs Fitl 1513
Hanak
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanak 40% vs Fitl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanak 40% vs Fitl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanak -2 · Fitl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hanak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanak 1.50 / Fitl 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Hanak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13015522
Hanak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite78% won 14 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Fitl2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 46 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanakFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 66 vs 156 / 30359.1%51.5%39 / 66 vs 156 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanakHanak 1.50/Fitl 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Hanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fitl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Hanak10
LAug 26 · 13:05J. Hanak1.802940M. Holub1.911111113LAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:05J. Hanak1.5381111113M. Holub2.38119661LAug 25 · 17:10J. Hanak1.44411161P. Chvatal2.6311119113LAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580WAug 25 · 15:35P. Chvatal2.63512761J. Hanak1.44111011113LAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WApr 24 · 13:05J. Babinek—10101191J. Hanak—12122113LApr 24 · 12:35F. Karel—1412113J. Hanak—121050LApr 24 · 11:35J. Hanak1.7912711592J. Babinek1.881011911113
R. Fitl10
WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871
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