TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13014410
Played Aug 25Finished
Jiri Hanak
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411111119611––
Pavel Chvatal
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Hanak above · Pavel Chvatal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 64 set 4, 6-11
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hanak 7–1 Pavel Chvatal Pavel Chvatal has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvatal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanak 1.44 / Chvatal 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Hanak)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #13014410
Hanak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite87% won 13 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Chvatal2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 36 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHanak7wins
AwayChvatal1wins
3 of 8 to a deciderHanak leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanak100%7 of 7
AwayChvataln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanak7Chvatal1n = 8Hanak took 7 of 8
S2Hanak5Chvatal3n = 8Hanak took 5 of 8
S3Hanak7Chvatal1n = 8Hanak took 7 of 8
S4Hanak2Chvatal3n = 5Chvatal took 3 of 5
S5Hanak2Chvatal1n = 3Hanak took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricHanakChvatalH − CBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match40.429.2+11.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanakChvatalBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 66 vs 133 / 24659.1%54.1%39 / 66 vs 133 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanakHanak 1.44/Chvatal 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Hanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chvatal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 25 · 15:35J. Hanak—111011113P. Chvatal—512761
WApr 22 · 10:05J. Hanak—1111113P. Chvatal—2570
WMar 12 · 13:05J. Hanak—1111113P. Chvatal—4670
WMar 9 · 17:05J. Hanak—117117113P. Chvatal—71181182
WFeb 17 · 14:20J. Hanak—111176113P. Chvatal—55111162
WFeb 17 · 13:05J. Hanak—11811113P. Chvatal—411751
LJan 27 · 14:15J. Hanak—91111972P. Chvatal—114511113
WJan 27 · 12:05J. Hanak—1111113P. Chvatal—5880
J. Hanak10
LAug 26 · 13:05J. Hanak1.802940M. Holub1.911111113LAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:05J. Hanak1.5381111113M. Holub2.38119661LAug 26 · 10:05J. Hanak1.501181211112R. Fitl2.50511146133LAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580WAug 25 · 15:35P. Chvatal2.63512761J. Hanak1.44111011113LAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WApr 24 · 13:05J. Babinek—10101191J. Hanak—12122113LApr 24 · 12:35F. Karel—1412113J. Hanak—121050LApr 24 · 11:35J. Hanak1.7912711592J. Babinek1.881011911113
P. Chvatal10
WAug 31 · 13:35M. Holub2.001111481P. Chvatal1.7313511113WAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880LAug 31 · 11:05M. Holub1.83711811113P. Chvatal1.8311911272WAug 31 · 10:35R. Fitl2.25551261P. Chvatal1.57111110113LAug 28 · 13:40P. Chvatal1.73111031192R. Neterda2.00912115113LAug 28 · 12:05P. Chvatal1.916111110112M. Holub1.80119312133WAug 28 · 11:05P. Chvatal2.00118119143R. Vosyka1.73511711122WAug 28 · 10:05P. Chvatal1.731112137113R. Neterda2.00414111142LAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 25 · 15:35P. Chvatal2.63512761J. Hanak1.44111011113
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