TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13032454
Played Aug 28Finished
Pavel Chvatal
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1158111179111412
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Chvatal above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 99 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 54.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Chvatal 14–13 Radek Vosyka Radek Vosyka has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:52What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chvatal 1608 vs Vosyka 1599
Chvatal
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chvatal 40% vs Vosyka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chvatal 50% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chvatal +1 · Vosyka -3
Vosyka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvatal 2.00 / Vosyka 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13032454
Chvatal2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 39 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Vosyka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it72% 58 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChvatal6wins
AwayVosyka4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderChvatal leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChvatal66.7%2 of 3
AwayVosyka42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chvatal3Vosyka7n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S2Chvatal5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Chvatal4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Chvatal3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S5Chvatal5Vosyka1n = 6Chvatal took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChvatalVosykaC − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.242.8−2.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvatalVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 253 vs 177 / 34654.2%51.2%137 / 253 vs 177 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaChvatal 2.00/Vosyka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chvatal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 11:05P. Chvatal—118119143R. Vosyka—511711122
WAug 27 · 12:05P. Chvatal—991111123R. Vosyka—111159102
LAug 22 · 06:05P. Chvatal—6850R. Vosyka—1111113
LAug 18 · 12:09P. Chvatal—61440R. Vosyka—1116113
LAug 18 · 11:05P. Chvatal—11115592R. Vosyka—981111113
WAug 12 · 14:35P. Chvatal—118811113R. Vosyka—111611782
WJul 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal—51111113R. Vosyka—119461
LJul 23 · 12:05P. Chvatal—8890R. Vosyka—1111113
WJul 20 · 13:44P. Chvatal—811177123R. Vosyka—1181511102
WJul 20 · 12:05P. Chvatal—111158113R. Vosyka—96111172
P. Chvatal10
WAug 31 · 13:35M. Holub2.001111481P. Chvatal1.7313511113WAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880LAug 31 · 11:05M. Holub1.83711811113P. Chvatal1.8311911272WAug 31 · 10:35R. Fitl2.25551261P. Chvatal1.57111110113LAug 28 · 13:40P. Chvatal1.73111031192R. Neterda2.00912115113LAug 28 · 12:05P. Chvatal1.916111110112M. Holub1.80119312133WAug 28 · 10:05P. Chvatal1.731112137113R. Neterda2.00414111142LAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272WAug 27 · 12:05P. Chvatal2.00991111123R. Vosyka1.73111159102LAug 27 · 11:05P. Chvatal1.579811121R. Fitl2.2511115143
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 27 · 12:05P. Chvatal2.00991111123R. Vosyka1.73111159102
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