TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13014409
Played Aug 25Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1174111210711119
Jan Muska
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Jan Muska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 1–0 Jan Muska Jan Muska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:09What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Muska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1677 vs Muska 1724
Muska
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Muska 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 60% vs Muska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -1 · Muska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Muska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.83 / Muska 1.83
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Muska)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13014409
Vyskocil1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Muska1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVyskocil1wins
AwayMuska0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVyskocil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVyskocilMuskaV − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.045.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilMuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 179 vs 43 / 8754.8%49.4%98 / 179 vs 43 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuskaVyskocil 1.83/Muska 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Muska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 15:05S. Vyskocil—117911113J. Muska—81111692
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
J. Muska10
LAug 27 · 16:35J. Ruzicka2.201211113J. Muska1.6110960WAug 26 · 17:05J. Muska1.7311119113M. Mastera2.00891191WAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska1.73981112113M. Mastera2.00111191082LAug 26 · 14:05D. Lengal1.73661111113J. Muska2.0011118962WAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580LAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:05J. Muska1.67111147113P. Chvatal2.1095111182WAug 19 · 13:04J. Muska1.361191114113M. Holub3.0041151672WAug 19 · 12:35J. Muska1.531211113M. Holub2.3810940LAug 19 · 11:05D. Lengal1.6771515123J. Muska2.10111313101
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