TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12482033
Played Aug 24Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811611118118
Radek Fitl
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 55.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 2–2 Radek Fitl Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1645 vs Fitl 1509
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 40% vs Fitl 60%
Fitl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 60% vs Fitl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +2 · Fitl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.57 / Fitl 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12482033
Vyskocil1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 36 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Fitl2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 45 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVyskocil2wins
AwayFitl2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil2Fitl2n = 4split evenly
S2Vyskocil3Fitl1n = 4Vyskocil took 3 of 4
S3Vyskocil3Fitl1n = 4Vyskocil took 3 of 4
S4Vyskocil2Fitl1n = 3Vyskocil took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVyskocilFitlV − FBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.538.8+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 174 vs 153 / 29654%51.7%94 / 174 vs 153 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.57/Fitl 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 20 · 11:05S. Vyskocil—117114112R. Fitl—611811133
WJul 8 · 17:45S. Vyskocil—1111113R. Fitl—9650
LJul 8 · 16:05S. Vyskocil—91191172R. Fitl—119116113
WMay 14 · 18:05S. Vyskocil—31311113R. Fitl—1111971
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
R. Fitl10
WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161LAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101LAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113
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