TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13020670
Played Aug 26Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1188111191210––
Radek Fitl
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 58.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 5–2 Radek Fitl Radek Fitl has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1707 vs Fitl 1530
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Fitl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 80% vs Fitl 50%
Vyskocil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +2 · Fitl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.61 / Fitl 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vyskocil)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13020670
Vyskocil1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Fitl2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 46 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVyskocil5wins
AwayFitl2wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVyskocil leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil80%4 of 5
AwayFitln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil5Fitl2n = 7Vyskocil took 5 of 7
S2Vyskocil3Fitl4n = 7Fitl took 4 of 7
S3Vyskocil5Fitl2n = 7Vyskocil took 5 of 7
S4Vyskocil4Fitl2n = 6Vyskocil took 4 of 6
S5Vyskocil2Fitl2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVyskocilFitlV − FBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match43.740.6+3.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 184 vs 158 / 30755.4%51.5%102 / 184 vs 158 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.61/Fitl 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil—11811123R. Fitl—8119101
WAug 26 · 11:35S. Vyskocil—11121110113R. Fitl—71451262
WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—118611113R. Fitl—91111882
LAug 20 · 11:05S. Vyskocil—117114112R. Fitl—611811133
WJul 8 · 17:45S. Vyskocil—1111113R. Fitl—9650
LJul 8 · 16:05S. Vyskocil—91191172R. Fitl—119116113
WMay 14 · 18:05S. Vyskocil—31311113R. Fitl—1111971
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
R. Fitl10
WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161LAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882
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