TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015809
Played Aug 26Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71114125111210611
Stepan Vyskocil
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:02 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Stepan Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 59.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 2–3 Stepan Vyskocil Radek Fitl has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1527 vs Vyskocil 1675
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 40% vs Vyskocil 60%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 50% vs Vyskocil 70%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl +2 · Vyskocil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 2.25 / Vyskocil 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vyskocil)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13015809
Fitl2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 46 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Vyskocil1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFitl2wins
AwayVyskocil3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVyskocil leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVyskocil66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl2Vyskocil3n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S2Fitl2Vyskocil3n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S3Fitl2Vyskocil3n = 5Vyskocil took 3 of 5
S4Fitl1Vyskocil3n = 4Vyskocil took 3 of 4
S5Fitl2Vyskocil1n = 3Fitl took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricFitlVyskocilF − VBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match40.441.8−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 304 vs 99 / 18151.6%54.7%157 / 304 vs 99 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilFitl 2.25/Vyskocil 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 12:05R. Fitl—91111882S. Vyskocil—118611113
WAug 20 · 11:05R. Fitl—611811133S. Vyskocil—117114112
LJul 8 · 17:45R. Fitl—9650S. Vyskocil—1111113
WJul 8 · 16:05R. Fitl—119116113S. Vyskocil—91191172
LMay 14 · 18:05R. Fitl—1111971S. Vyskocil—31311113
R. Fitl10
WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
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