TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12482153
Played Aug 24Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151181113113––
Radek Neterda
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 73 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 65.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 4–2 Radek Neterda Radek Neterda has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Vyskocil
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1637 vs Neterda 1527
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 40% vs Neterda 60%
Neterda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 50% vs Neterda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +1 · Neterda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.50 / Neterda 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Vyskocil)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12482153
Vyskocil1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 36 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Neterda2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVyskocil4wins
AwayNeterda2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderVyskocil leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskociln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNeterda25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil2Neterda4n = 6Neterda took 4 of 6
S2Vyskocil3Neterda3n = 6split evenly
S3Vyskocil3Neterda3n = 6split evenly
S4Vyskocil4Neterda2n = 6Vyskocil took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricVyskocilNeterdaV − NBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match43.541.8+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 173 vs 183 / 36153.8%50.7%93 / 173 vs 183 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.50/Neterda 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 20 · 10:05S. Vyskocil—111011143R. Neterda—6125121
WJul 30 · 14:05S. Vyskocil—611516113R. Neterda—117111492
WMay 26 · 11:35S. Vyskocil—811611113R. Neterda—11211662
LMay 12 · 11:05S. Vyskocil—12912111R. Neterda—101114133
LMar 19 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—1021171R. Neterda—12119113
WFeb 23 · 12:35S. Vyskocil—91113123R. Neterda—11511101
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil1.616101681P. Chvatal2.20111214113WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882
R. Neterda10
LSep 9 · 13:45R. Vavricka2.14714128113R. Neterda1.581112101152WSep 9 · 12:05R. Neterda2.101111113J. Lovl1.676320LSep 9 · 11:05R. Neterda1.617970R. Vavricka2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:05R. Neterda1.731111113M. Chmelicek2.009570LSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551LSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 13:43R. Neterda1.67131311392R. Fitl2.101115911113LAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162
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