TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101508
Played Sep 9Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113112––––
Jan Lovl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:48 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeJan Lovl to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Jan Lovl below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 44 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Jan Lovl at 58.2%
44 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 7–20 Jan Lovl Radek Neterda has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lovl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-20 in 27
Lovl
Wrong
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1467 vs Lovl 1521
Lovl
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 20% vs Lovl 40%
Lovl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 30% vs Lovl 50%
Lovl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -1 · Lovl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lovl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lovl form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 2.10 / Lovl 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lovl)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13101508
Neterda2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Lovl1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 67 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda3wins
AwayLovl7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLovl leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda75%3 of 4
AwayLovl100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda4Lovl6n = 10Lovl took 6 of 10
S2Neterda3Lovl7n = 10Lovl took 7 of 10
S3Neterda5Lovl5n = 10split evenly
S4Neterda4Lovl2n = 6Neterda took 4 of 6
S5Neterda1Lovl4n = 5Lovl took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaLovlN − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.238.3−3.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaLovlBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 399 vs 171 / 33250.4%51.5%201 / 399 vs 171 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovlNeterda 2.10/Lovl 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.2%
Lovl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:05R. Neterda—1111113J. Lovl—6320
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda—5070J. Lovl—1111113
LAug 30 · 12:35R. Neterda—791112132J. Lovl—1111710153
LAug 15 · 17:04R. Neterda—11119422J. Lovl—841111113
WAug 15 · 14:05R. Neterda—1112511113J. Lovl—81411772
LAug 12 · 14:05R. Neterda—4460J. Lovl—1111113
LAug 6 · 11:35R. Neterda—46110J. Lovl—1111133
LJul 30 · 17:08R. Neterda—39111292J. Lovl—1111410113
WJul 30 · 16:35R. Neterda—12511113J. Lovl—1011981
LJul 17 · 11:35R. Neterda—911119102J. Lovl—113311123
R. Neterda10
LSep 9 · 11:05R. Neterda1.617970R. Vavricka2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:05R. Neterda1.731111113M. Chmelicek2.009570LSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551LSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 13:43R. Neterda1.67131311392R. Fitl2.101115911113LSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482WSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491
J. Lovl10
WSep 9 · 11:35M. Chmelicek2.2061111101J. Lovl1.6111913123LSep 9 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57114771R. Vavricka2.2581111113LSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672LSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871WSep 8 · 11:35O. Pros2.7534121162J. Lovl1.401111107113WSep 8 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57111115113R. Vavricka2.25761751LSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472WSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550LSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113
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