TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101563
Played Sep 9Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Richard Vavricka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:57 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Richard Vavricka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Radek Neterda at 60.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 9–3 Richard Vavricka Richard Vavricka has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Neterda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Neterda
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1464 vs Vavricka 1463
Neterda
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 20% vs Vavricka 60%
Vavricka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 30% vs Vavricka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda +1 · Vavricka +3
Vavricka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavricka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.61 / Vavricka 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Neterda)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13101563
Neterda1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 56 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Vavricka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 24 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda7wins
AwayVavricka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNeterda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda85.7%6 of 7
AwayVavricka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda7Vavricka3n = 10Neterda took 7 of 10
S2Neterda5Vavricka5n = 10split evenly
S3Neterda9Vavricka1n = 10Neterda took 9 of 10
S4Neterda5Vavricka4n = 9Neterda took 5 of 9
S5Neterda1Vavricka3n = 4Vavricka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaVavrickaN − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.0+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaVavrickaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 397 vs 105 / 20550.4%51.2%200 / 397 vs 105 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.61/Vavricka 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.1%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vavricka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 11:35R. Neterda—11411113R. Vavricka—711691
WJul 26 · 20:05R. Neterda—1112113R. Vavricka—51010
WJun 7 · 11:35R. Neterda—71114113R. Vavricka—1191291
LMay 16 · 17:05R. Neterda—81211962R. Vavricka—1110411113
WMay 16 · 14:05R. Neterda—12119113R. Vavricka—1071181
WApr 5 · 14:35R. Neterda—11611113R. Vavricka—911941
LFeb 28 · 22:15R. Neterda—11611352R. Vavricka—911711113
WFeb 28 · 21:05R. Neterda—11611113R. Vavricka—911891
LJan 23 · 22:10R. Neterda—1012127102R. Vavricka—12101011123
WJan 23 · 21:35R. Neterda—1111117113R. Vavricka—71341182
R. Neterda10
WSep 9 · 12:05R. Neterda2.101111113J. Lovl1.676320WSep 9 · 10:05R. Neterda1.731111113M. Chmelicek2.009570LSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551LSep 8 · 20:05R. Neterda1.44811761M. Flesar2.6311411113LSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 13:43R. Neterda1.67131311392R. Fitl2.101115911113LSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482WSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491
R. Vavricka10
WSep 9 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.61711911113M. Chmelicek2.2011711592WSep 9 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57114771R. Vavricka2.2581111113WSep 8 · 13:05R. Vavricka1.531111113O. Pros2.386390WSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.5711311113O. Pros2.25711791LSep 8 · 11:05R. Fitl1.50711911113R. Vavricka2.5011711842LSep 8 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57111115113R. Vavricka2.25761751LSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113LSep 7 · 12:35R. Fitl1.50115413113R. Vavricka2.50611111182LSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113
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