TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011577
Played Aug 25Finished
Stepan Vyskocil
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61110121614811––
Pavel Chvatal
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeStepan Vyskocil to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Vyskocil above · Pavel Chvatal below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 88 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Stepan Vyskocil at 66.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Vyskocil 8–2 Pavel Chvatal Pavel Chvatal has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Vyskocil
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1677 vs Chvatal 1622
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 100% vs Chvatal 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 70% vs Chvatal 40%
Vyskocil
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +5 · Chvatal -2
Vyskocil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvatal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.61 / Chvatal 2.20
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vyskocil)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #13011577
Vyskocil1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Chvatal2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog51% won 36 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil8wins
AwayChvatal2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil100%8 of 8
AwayChvataln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil8Chvatal2n = 10Vyskocil took 8 of 10
S2Vyskocil6Chvatal4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Vyskocil6Chvatal4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil3Chvatal1n = 4Vyskocil took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilChvatalV − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.233.3+3.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilChvatalBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 179 vs 134 / 24754.8%54.3%98 / 179 vs 134 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.61/Chvatal 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chvatal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 16:35S. Vyskocil—6101681P. Chvatal—111214113
WAug 17 · 13:45S. Vyskocil—1113113P. Chvatal—81160
WAug 17 · 11:05S. Vyskocil—13117113P. Chvatal—1191131
LJun 25 · 11:05S. Vyskocil—91360P. Chvatal—1115113
WMay 12 · 13:40S. Vyskocil—116611113P. Chvatal—81111682
WMay 12 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—1111113P. Chvatal—9650
WMay 7 · 11:35S. Vyskocil—1314113P. Chvatal—111280
WMar 2 · 19:35S. Vyskocil—1111113P. Chvatal—9770
WFeb 23 · 11:35S. Vyskocil—1114113P. Chvatal—41290
WJan 21 · 12:05S. Vyskocil—114511113P. Chvatal—81111882
S. Vyskocil10
WAug 26 · 13:35S. Vyskocil1.6111811123R. Fitl2.208119101WAug 26 · 12:05J. Hanak1.50811881S. Vyskocil2.5011911113WAug 26 · 11:35R. Fitl2.2571451262S. Vyskocil1.5711121110113LAug 26 · 10:35S. Vyskocil1.61101181232M. Holub2.201281110113WAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192WAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:35J. Hanak1.807960S. Vyskocil1.911111113WAug 24 · 13:43S. Vyskocil1.50911167113R. Neterda2.50118141162WAug 24 · 12:05S. Vyskocil1.57118611113R. Fitl2.2591111882WAug 24 · 11:05S. Vyskocil1.50111111113R. Neterda2.50581331
P. Chvatal10
WAug 31 · 13:35M. Holub2.001111481P. Chvatal1.7313511113WAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880LAug 31 · 11:05M. Holub1.83711811113P. Chvatal1.8311911272WAug 31 · 10:35R. Fitl2.25551261P. Chvatal1.57111110113LAug 28 · 13:40P. Chvatal1.73111031192R. Neterda2.00912115113LAug 28 · 12:05P. Chvatal1.916111110112M. Holub1.80119312133WAug 28 · 11:05P. Chvatal2.00118119143R. Vosyka1.73511711122WAug 28 · 10:05P. Chvatal1.731112137113R. Neterda2.00414111142LAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272WAug 27 · 12:05P. Chvatal2.00991111123R. Vosyka1.73111159102
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