TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13022287
Played Aug 26Finished
Jan Muska
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119911119––
Martin Mastera
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Muska above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Muska 7–9 Martin Mastera Jan Muska has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Muska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muska form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuska 1.73 / Mastera 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Muska)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13022287
Muska1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 15 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Mastera2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 46 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuska5wins
AwayMastera5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuska80%4 of 5
AwayMastera80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muska5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S2Muska2Mastera8n = 10Mastera took 8 of 10
S3Muska6Mastera4n = 10Muska took 6 of 10
S4Muska4Mastera1n = 5Muska took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMuskaMasteraMuska − MasteraBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.336.8−1.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuskaMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 91 vs 156 / 31548.4%49.5%44 / 91 vs 156 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuskaMuska 1.73/Mastera 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Muska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Muska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska—981112113M. Mastera—111191082
WAug 17 · 14:05J. Muska—11611123M. Mastera—6117101
WAug 10 · 17:40J. Muska—11712113M. Mastera—4111091
WAug 10 · 15:35J. Muska—1512123M. Mastera—1310100
LAug 8 · 20:35J. Muska—3970M. Mastera—1111113
WAug 8 · 16:35J. Muska—1111123M. Mastera—85100
LJul 29 · 13:08J. Muska—7740M. Mastera—1111113
LJul 29 · 12:05J. Muska—1091111122M. Mastera—121187143
LJul 20 · 15:35J. Muska—1169121M. Mastera—81111143
LJul 15 · 16:35J. Muska—6590M. Mastera—1111113
J. Muska10
LAug 27 · 16:35J. Ruzicka2.201211113J. Muska1.6110960WAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska1.73981112113M. Mastera2.00111191082LAug 26 · 14:05D. Lengal1.73661111113J. Muska2.0011118962LAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192WAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580LAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:05J. Muska1.67111147113P. Chvatal2.1095111182WAug 19 · 13:04J. Muska1.361191114113M. Holub3.0041151672WAug 19 · 12:35J. Muska1.531211113M. Holub2.3810940LAug 19 · 11:05D. Lengal1.6771515123J. Muska2.10111313101
M. Mastera10
LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113LAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska1.73981112113M. Mastera2.00111191082
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