Dominik Lengal vs Jan Muska 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12457512

Played Aug 19Finished

Dominik Lengal

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

711151315131210––

Jan Muska

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Dominik Lengal to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDominik Lengal above · Jan Muska below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 15-13

Set 3 · 15-13

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 96 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Dominik Lengal at 55.8%

96 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Lengal 5–5 Jan Muska Dead even across their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:42

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Lengal

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

5-5 in 10

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lengal 1794 vs Muska 1684

Lengal

Correct

both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lengal 60% vs Muska 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lengal 60% vs Muska 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Lengal +3 · Muska -1

Lengal

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lengal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Muska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLengal 1.67 / Muska 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Lengal)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #12457512

Lengal1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite61% won 89 of 145

Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56

Up 1–0, closes it86% 73 of 85

Muska2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog50% won 24 of 48

Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLengal5wins

AwayMuska5wins

6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLengal75%3 of 4

AwayMuska66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lengal4Muska6n = 10Muska took 6 of 10

S2Lengal6Muska4n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10

S3Lengal3Muska7n = 10Muska took 7 of 10

S4Lengal6Muska1n = 7Lengal took 6 of 7

S5Lengal3Muska3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricLengalMuskaL − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.2+1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLengalMuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 271 vs 39 / 8161.3%48.2%166 / 271 vs 39 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lengal

Lengal 1.67/Muska 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.8%

Lengal · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Lengal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 8 · 19:35D. Lengal—1191011113J. Muska—61112482

WAug 8 · 17:40D. Lengal—1111113J. Muska—3880

LAug 8 · 15:35D. Lengal—911712102J. Muska—1191110123

LJul 22 · 13:19D. Lengal—101141162J. Muska—128116113

WJul 22 · 11:35D. Lengal—1111113J. Muska—8830

WJul 15 · 14:05D. Lengal—611611133J. Muska—117113112

LJul 14 · 19:35D. Lengal—891171J. Muska—11117113

LJul 14 · 14:05D. Lengal—7780J. Muska—1111113

LJun 30 · 13:35D. Lengal—111131162J. Muska—713112113

WJun 30 · 10:05D. Lengal—811514113J. Muska—119111292

D. Lengal10

LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171 WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471 LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232 WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133 WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113 WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950 LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113 WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112 WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113 WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100

J. Muska10

LAug 27 · 16:35J. Ruzicka2.201211113J. Muska1.6110960 WAug 26 · 17:05J. Muska1.7311119113M. Mastera2.00891191 WAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska1.73981112113M. Mastera2.00111191082 LAug 26 · 14:05D. Lengal1.73661111113J. Muska2.0011118962 LAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192 WAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580 LAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113 WAug 25 · 14:05J. Muska1.67111147113P. Chvatal2.1095111182 WAug 19 · 13:04J. Muska1.361191114113M. Holub3.0041151672 WAug 19 · 12:35J. Muska1.531211113M. Holub2.3810940

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.