TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13017654
Played Aug 26Finished
Dominik Lengal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611611118119116
Jan Muska
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Lengal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Lengal above · Jan Muska below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Dominik Lengal at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Lengal 7–5 Jan Muska Jan Muska has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lengal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Lengal
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lengal 1795 vs Muska 1714
Lengal
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lengal 60% vs Muska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lengal 40% vs Muska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lengal -2 · Muska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lengal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLengal 1.73 / Muska 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lengal)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13017654
Lengal1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 89 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Muska2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 24 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLengal6wins
AwayMuska4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLengal leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLengal100%3 of 3
AwayMuska57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lengal3Muska7n = 10Muska took 7 of 10
S2Lengal6Muska4n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10
S3Lengal5Muska5n = 10split evenly
S4Lengal6Muska1n = 7Lengal took 6 of 7
S5Lengal3Muska2n = 5Lengal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLengalMuskaL − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.8+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLengalMuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 278 vs 45 / 9261.2%48.9%170 / 278 vs 45 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LengalLengal 1.73/Muska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Lengal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lengal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 14:05D. Lengal—661111113J. Muska—11118962
WAug 19 · 11:05D. Lengal—71515123J. Muska—111313101
WAug 8 · 19:35D. Lengal—1191011113J. Muska—61112482
WAug 8 · 17:40D. Lengal—1111113J. Muska—3880
LAug 8 · 15:35D. Lengal—911712102J. Muska—1191110123
LJul 22 · 13:19D. Lengal—101141162J. Muska—128116113
WJul 22 · 11:35D. Lengal—1111113J. Muska—8830
WJul 15 · 14:05D. Lengal—611611133J. Muska—117113112
LJul 14 · 19:35D. Lengal—891171J. Muska—11117113
LJul 14 · 14:05D. Lengal—7780J. Muska—1111113
D. Lengal10
LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100
J. Muska10
LAug 27 · 16:35J. Ruzicka2.201211113J. Muska1.6110960WAug 26 · 17:05J. Muska1.7311119113M. Mastera2.00891191WAug 26 · 15:35J. Muska1.73981112113M. Mastera2.00111191082LAug 25 · 17:40S. Vyskocil1.83114127113J. Muska1.83711101192WAug 25 · 16:05J. Muska1.731111113J. Hanak2.005580LAug 25 · 15:05J. Muska1.5381111692S. Vyskocil2.38117911113WAug 25 · 14:05J. Muska1.67111147113P. Chvatal2.1095111182WAug 19 · 13:04J. Muska1.361191114113M. Holub3.0041151672WAug 19 · 12:35J. Muska1.531211113M. Holub2.3810940LAug 19 · 11:05D. Lengal1.6771515123J. Muska2.10111313101
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