TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12478364
Played Aug 23Finished
Andrii Kotyk
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012115118511311
Vitalii Boyko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:30 and never touched — 79.8% is still 79.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
79.8%
79.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
1012115118511311
H2H Andrii Kotyk 5–1 Vitalii Boyko Vitalii Boyko has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kotyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Kotyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotyk 1633 vs Boyko 1488
Kotyk
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotyk 60% vs Boyko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotyk 80% vs Boyko 40%
Kotyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotyk -1 · Boyko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Kotyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boyko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotyk 1.36 / Boyko 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Kotyk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12478364
Kotyk1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Boyko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 32 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKotyk5wins
AwayBoyko1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKotyk leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotyk80%4 of 5
AwayBoykon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotyk5Boyko1n = 6Kotyk took 5 of 6
S2Kotyk4Boyko2n = 6Kotyk took 4 of 6
S3Kotyk5Boyko1n = 6Kotyk took 5 of 6
S4Kotyk3Boyko1n = 4Kotyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKotykBoykoK − BBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.232.7+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotykBoykoBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 424 vs 236 / 50443.6%46.8%185 / 424 vs 236 / 504Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykKotyk 1.36/Boyko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.8%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 2 · 10:35A. Kotyk—1111113V. Boyko—8960
WAug 1 · 16:05A. Kotyk—111173V. Boyko—8950
LJun 21 · 10:35A. Kotyk—11118952V. Boyko—871111113
WJun 20 · 15:05A. Kotyk—11811113V. Boyko—911781
WJun 19 · 23:30A. Kotyk—51111113V. Boyko—118781
WMay 10 · 10:35A. Kotyk—11411123V. Boyko—6117101
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.531113113Y. Shmyndra2.3851170WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 14:35A. Kotyk1.679118101O. Hura2.1011711123LAug 29 · 12:35A. Kotyk1.3391111392A. Shypilov3.25117711113
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 15:05V. Boyko3.501111113A. Kotyk1.282730WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2.1011770A. Shypilov1.671311113
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