TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12471887
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112117113––––
Andrii Kotyk
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 84.1% is still 84.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
84.1%
84.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Andrii Kotyk below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 45 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 84.1%
45 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 1–5 Andrii Kotyk Vitalii Boyko has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kotyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Kotyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1488 vs Kotyk 1633
Kotyk
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 40% vs Kotyk 100%
Kotyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 20% vs Kotyk 90%
Kotyk
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +1 · Kotyk +5
Kotyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Kotyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 3.50 / Kotyk 1.28
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Kotyk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12471887
Boyko3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 32 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Kotyk1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBoyko1wins
AwayKotyk5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKotyk leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoykon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKotyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko1Kotyk5n = 6Kotyk took 5 of 6
S2Boyko2Kotyk4n = 6Kotyk took 4 of 6
S3Boyko1Kotyk5n = 6Kotyk took 5 of 6
S4Boyko1Kotyk3n = 4Kotyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricBoykoKotykB − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match32.737.2−4.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoKotykBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 507 vs 185 / 42446.6%43.6%236 / 507 vs 185 / 424Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykBoyko 3.50/Kotyk 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.1%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 2 · 10:35V. Boyko—8960A. Kotyk—1111113
LAug 1 · 16:05V. Boyko—8950A. Kotyk—111173
WJun 21 · 10:35V. Boyko—871111113A. Kotyk—11118952
LJun 20 · 15:05V. Boyko—911781A. Kotyk—11811113
LJun 19 · 23:30V. Boyko—118781A. Kotyk—51111113
LMay 10 · 10:35V. Boyko—6117101A. Kotyk—11411123
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2.1011770A. Shypilov1.671311113
A. Kotyk10
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750WAug 30 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.531113113Y. Shmyndra2.3851170WAug 30 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.401111143M. Smyrnov2.7516120WAug 30 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.401113113O. Mitla2.7591170WAug 29 · 18:05Y. Shmyndra2.108870A. Kotyk1.671111113WAug 29 · 17:05A. Kotyk1.4411119103O. Mitla2.63441181WAug 29 · 16:05A. Kotyk1.501111113M. Smyrnov2.505590LAug 29 · 14:35A. Kotyk1.679118101O. Hura2.1011711123LAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113
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