TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477681
Played Aug 23Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151188117111210
Mykyta Smyrnov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykyta Smyrnov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1151188117111210
H2H Vitalii Boyko 14–8 Mykyta Smyrnov Mykyta Smyrnov has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Boyko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Boyko
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1488 vs Smyrnov 1487
Boyko
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 60% vs Smyrnov 80%
Smyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 40% vs Smyrnov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +1 · Smyrnov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Smyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 1.73 / Smyrnov 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Smyrnov)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #12477681
Boyko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 46 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Smyrnov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 119 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko7wins
AwaySmyrnov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySmyrnov25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko6Smyrnov4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S2Boyko5Smyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S3Boyko6Smyrnov4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko5Smyrnov4n = 9Boyko took 5 of 9
S5Boyko3Smyrnov1n = 4Boyko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoSmyrnovB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.5+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoSmyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 506 vs 361 / 74546.6%48.5%236 / 506 vs 361 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmyrnovBoyko 1.73/Smyrnov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Smyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 28 · 07:35V. Boyko—117119113M. Smyrnov—51141162
LJun 6 · 12:05V. Boyko—11811101M. Smyrnov—91113123
LMay 9 · 15:05V. Boyko—11712952M. Smyrnov—7111011113
WMay 2 · 12:05V. Boyko—11129113M. Smyrnov—8101131
LApr 19 · 06:05V. Boyko—671291M. Smyrnov—111110113
WApr 18 · 17:05V. Boyko—761111113M. Smyrnov—11118772
WMar 27 · 22:00V. Boyko—611711113M. Smyrnov—11911462
WMar 21 · 19:35V. Boyko—9111153M. Smyrnov—119931
WMar 20 · 22:00V. Boyko—12119113M. Smyrnov—1071141
WMar 14 · 19:05V. Boyko—1111113M. Smyrnov—6760
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 15:05V. Boyko3.501111113A. Kotyk1.282730WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2.1011770A. Shypilov1.671311113
M. Smyrnov10
WSep 11 · 19:05Y. Kravets1.807890M. Smyrnov1.911111113LSep 11 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.9111511782I. Romaniak1.80911511113LSep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.7381111113M. Smyrnov2.00119991LSep 11 · 13:35N. Kovalchuk1.57611117113M. Smyrnov2.2511661162WSep 11 · 12:35R. Lazebnyi1.57971111112M. Smyrnov2.25111164133WSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140WSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:45M. Smyrnov2.0011113113O. Hura1.73891191LSep 9 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.38912311113M. Smyrnov1.53111011972WSep 9 · 21:15M. Smyrnov1.57111311113S. Kalenyk2.251311491
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