TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477830
Played Aug 23Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115116611811115
Oleksii Mitla
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Boyko to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
115116611811115
H2H Vitalii Boyko 19–11 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Boyko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-11 in 30
Boyko
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1488 vs Mitla 1461
Boyko
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 60% vs Mitla 20%
Boyko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 40% vs Mitla 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +1 · Mitla -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Boyko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 1.53 / Mitla 2.38
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Boyko)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12477830
Boyko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 46 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Mitla2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 168 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back29% 65 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back12% 15 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko8wins
AwayMitla2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko85.7%6 of 7
AwayMitla33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko7Mitla3n = 10Boyko took 7 of 10
S2Boyko7Mitla3n = 10Boyko took 7 of 10
S3Boyko6Mitla4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko5Mitla2n = 7Boyko took 5 of 7
S5Boyko2Mitla1n = 3Boyko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoMitlaB − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.335.2+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 506 vs 308 / 70546.6%43.7%236 / 506 vs 308 / 705Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoykoBoyko 1.53/Mitla 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Boyko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 14:05V. Boyko—1113113O. Mitla—91170
LAug 1 · 03:00V. Boyko—610111122O. Mitla—111245113
WJun 28 · 10:35V. Boyko—1111113O. Mitla—8560
LJun 27 · 15:05V. Boyko—137361O. Mitla—111111113
WMay 31 · 08:35V. Boyko—1111113O. Mitla—5370
WMay 30 · 12:05V. Boyko—8111211123O. Mitla—116144102
WMay 30 · 02:30V. Boyko—91111113O. Mitla—117991
WMay 10 · 09:35V. Boyko—141110123O. Mitla—12712101
WMay 9 · 24:30V. Boyko—111111153O. Mitla—3137131
WMay 2 · 18:05V. Boyko—1111910113O. Mitla—98111262
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 15:05V. Boyko3.501111113A. Kotyk1.282730WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2.1011770A. Shypilov1.671311113
O. Mitla10
WSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140WSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681
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