TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472042
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711711––––
Anton Shypilov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeAnton Shypilov to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 60 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Anton Shypilov at 55.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 15–16 Anton Shypilov Vitalii Boyko has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shypilov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-16 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1439 vs Shypilov 1526
Shypilov
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 20% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 30% vs Shypilov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -1 · Shypilov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Shypilov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boyko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.10 / Shypilov 1.67
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Shypilov)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472042
Boyko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 32 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Shypilov1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite45% won 32 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 22 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko2wins
AwayShypilov8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko66.7%2 of 3
AwayShypilov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko3Shypilov7n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S2Boyko5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S3Boyko2Shypilov8n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S4Boyko3Shypilov4n = 7Shypilov took 4 of 7
S5Boyko1Shypilov2n = 3Shypilov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoShypilovB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.241.1−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 502 vs 338 / 73646.4%45.9%233 / 502 vs 338 / 736Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShypilovBoyko 2.10/Shypilov 1.67
Hit
What we said
62.8%
Shypilov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 23:30V. Boyko—9121181A. Shypilov—11149113
LAug 16 · 10:35V. Boyko—15350A. Shypilov—1711113
LAug 15 · 18:35V. Boyko—1131071A. Shypilov—71112113
LJun 21 · 06:05V. Boyko—121191182A. Shypilov—144116113
WJun 20 · 18:05V. Boyko—119912113A. Shypilov—911111092
LJun 6 · 02:30V. Boyko—9115131A. Shypilov—11811153
LMay 10 · 05:05V. Boyko—913991A. Shypilov—111111113
LMay 1 · 22:30V. Boyko—61251142A. Shypilov—1110115113
WApr 25 · 18:05V. Boyko—1111123A. Shypilov—46100
LApr 24 · 22:30V. Boyko—9880A. Shypilov—1111113
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko1.57111111113O. Mitla2.25913681LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 15:05V. Boyko3.501111113A. Kotyk1.282730WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112
A. Shypilov10
WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101LSep 10 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.10811811122M. Smyrnov1.67118117143WSep 9 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.00116118113S. Kalenyk1.7381171182LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.20711851O. Hura1.6111811113LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.917911151V. Vlasenko1.8011112173LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.00741251O. Napirko1.73111110113WSep 8 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.10961111113S. Kalenyk1.6711119362LSep 8 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.003370M. Smyrnov1.731111113
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