TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472174
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191113116118––
Oleksii Mitla
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 19–11 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Boyko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-11 in 30
Boyko
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1464 vs Mitla 1484
Mitla
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 40% vs Mitla 20%
Boyko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 30% vs Mitla 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -1 · Mitla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Boyko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 1.57 / Mitla 2.25
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Boyko)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12472174
Boyko1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 46 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Mitla2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 168 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back29% 65 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back12% 15 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko8wins
AwayMitla2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko85.7%6 of 7
AwayMitla33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko7Mitla3n = 10Boyko took 7 of 10
S2Boyko7Mitla3n = 10Boyko took 7 of 10
S3Boyko6Mitla4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko5Mitla2n = 7Boyko took 5 of 7
S5Boyko2Mitla1n = 3Boyko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoMitlaB − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.335.2+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 506 vs 308 / 70446.4%43.8%235 / 506 vs 308 / 704Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoykoBoyko 1.57/Mitla 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Boyko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 14:05V. Boyko—1113113O. Mitla—91170
LAug 1 · 03:00V. Boyko—610111122O. Mitla—111245113
WJun 28 · 10:35V. Boyko—1111113O. Mitla—8560
LJun 27 · 15:05V. Boyko—137361O. Mitla—111111113
WMay 31 · 08:35V. Boyko—1111113O. Mitla—5370
WMay 30 · 12:05V. Boyko—8111211123O. Mitla—116144102
WMay 30 · 02:30V. Boyko—91111113O. Mitla—117991
WMay 10 · 09:35V. Boyko—141110123O. Mitla—12712101
WMay 9 · 24:30V. Boyko—111111153O. Mitla—3137131
WMay 2 · 18:05V. Boyko—1111910113O. Mitla—98111262
V. Boyko10
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152WAug 23 · 08:35V. Boyko1.73111187123M. Smyrnov2.00581111102LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko2.201144121O. Hura1.6191111143WAug 23 · 05:05V. Boyko1.611111123Y. Shmyndra2.2078100LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko2.20211891O. Napirko1.6111711113WAug 22 · 15:05V. Boyko3.501111113A. Kotyk1.282730WAug 22 · 13:35V. Boyko1.571031112123Y. Shmyndra2.251211910112LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2.1011770A. Shypilov1.671311113
O. Mitla10
WSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140WSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113LSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582WSep 9 · 22:15S. Kalenyk1.53116981O. Mitla2.3871111113WSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.9191410101O. Mitla1.80111212123LSep 9 · 02:45O. Napirko1.331111113O. Mitla3.257940LSep 9 · 01:45M. Smyrnov1.8011611113O. Mitla1.91311881WSep 9 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.9184100O. Mitla1.801111123LAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko1.53111168113O. Mitla2.3856111152
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