TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12451977
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Fojtik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
31113117111315––
Tomas Lysek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Fojtik to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Fojtik above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 84 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Tomas Fojtik at 57.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Fojtik 0–1 Tomas Lysek Tomas Fojtik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lysek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fojtik 1599 vs Lysek 1503
Fojtik
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojtik 100% vs Lysek 40%
Fojtik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojtik 70% vs Lysek 40%
Fojtik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojtik +5 · Lysek +1
Fojtik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fojtik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojtik 1.83 / Lysek 1.83
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Fojtik)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12451977
Fojtik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Lysek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFojtik0wins
AwayLysek1wins
Lysek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFojtikLysekF − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.048.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtikLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 297 vs 113 / 20949.2%54.1%146 / 297 vs 113 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtikFojtik 1.83/Lysek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Fojtik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik—3137131T. Lysek—111111153
T. Fojtik10
LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113WAug 12 · 08:10T. Krenek1.6746111152T. Fojtik2.10111192113LAug 12 · 07:10T. Fojtik2.205511101J. Skvrna1.6111117123
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791
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