TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12452021
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Fojtik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161197116111012
Lukas Slavik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Fojtik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Fojtik above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Fojtik at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Fojtik 7–12 Lukas Slavik Tomas Fojtik has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fojtik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Slavik
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojtik 1599 vs Slavik 1596
Fojtik
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojtik 80% vs Slavik 60%
Fojtik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojtik 60% vs Slavik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojtik -1 · Slavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slavik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojtik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojtik 1.80 / Slavik 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slavik)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #12452021
Fojtik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite45% won 28 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it59% 17 of 29
Slavik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 41 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojtik3wins
AwaySlavik7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSlavik leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojtik50%2 of 4
AwaySlavik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojtik4Slavik6n = 10Slavik took 6 of 10
S2Fojtik3Slavik7n = 10Slavik took 7 of 10
S3Fojtik6Slavik4n = 10Fojtik took 6 of 10
S4Fojtik2Slavik6n = 8Slavik took 6 of 8
S5Fojtik3Slavik4n = 7Slavik took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtikSlavikF − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.044.2−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtikSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 297 vs 99 / 19349.2%51.3%146 / 297 vs 99 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikFojtik 1.80/Slavik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik—111176102L. Slavik—691111123
LJul 12 · 20:40T. Fojtik—911131082L. Slavik—1171112113
LJul 12 · 19:10T. Fojtik—3770L. Slavik—1111113
LJun 3 · 05:45T. Fojtik—119871L. Slavik—71111113
LJun 1 · 08:50T. Fojtik—75111162L. Slavik—111185113
LJun 1 · 06:45T. Fojtik—5490L. Slavik—1111113
WApr 30 · 17:15T. Fojtik—13121211113L. Slavik—151410952
WApr 30 · 15:40T. Fojtik—118119113L. Slavik—91181192
WApr 27 · 09:15T. Fojtik—1110117113L. Slavik—61291162
LApr 27 · 07:40T. Fojtik—71111972L. Slavik—116511113
T. Fojtik10
LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113WAug 12 · 08:10T. Krenek1.6746111152T. Fojtik2.10111192113LAug 12 · 07:10T. Fojtik2.205511101J. Skvrna1.6111117123
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111
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