TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12432469
Played Aug 14Finished
Tomas Fojtik
Home
1.72
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311811115116––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Fojtik to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Fojtik above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Fojtik at 56.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Fojtik 9–6 Dalibor Velky Jr Dalibor Velky Jr has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Fojtik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Fojtik
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojtik 1602 vs Jr 1516
Fojtik
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojtik 80% vs Jr 60%
Fojtik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojtik 60% vs Jr 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojtik +3 · Jr +2
Fojtik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fojtik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojtik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojtik 1.72 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Fojtik)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12432469
Fojtik1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 29 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it59% 17 of 29
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 102 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back31% 30 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojtik7wins
AwayJr3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFojtik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojtik71.4%5 of 7
AwayJr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojtik7Jr3n = 10Fojtik took 7 of 10
S2Fojtik7Jr3n = 10Fojtik took 7 of 10
S3Fojtik7Jr3n = 10Fojtik took 7 of 10
S4Fojtik3Jr3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtikJrF − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.0+3.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtikJrBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 292 vs 213 / 43049.3%49.5%144 / 292 vs 213 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtikFojtik 1.72/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Fojtik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fojtik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 06:10T. Fojtik—1111113D. Jr—9920
WAug 7 · 12:40T. Fojtik—1111113D. Jr—8790
WAug 7 · 12:10T. Fojtik—1112113D. Jr—91090
LJul 7 · 07:40T. Fojtik—181131092D. Jr—1621112113
LJul 2 · 08:45T. Fojtik—117791D. Jr—91111113
WJul 2 · 08:15T. Fojtik—1311123D. Jr—118100
WJun 29 · 09:15T. Fojtik—111011153D. Jr—9127131
WJun 29 · 08:15T. Fojtik—91111113D. Jr—118791
WJun 6 · 21:09T. Fojtik—1011911113D. Jr—12811762
LJun 6 · 17:40T. Fojtik—961471D. Jr—111112113
T. Fojtik10
LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113WAug 12 · 08:10T. Krenek1.6746111152T. Fojtik2.10111192113LAug 12 · 07:10T. Fojtik2.205511101J. Skvrna1.6111117123
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Fojtik
Nothing scheduled
D. Jr
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