TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12428538
Played Aug 14Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611511811––
Tomas Fojtik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Tomas Fojtik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 9–8 Tomas Fojtik Tomas Fojtik has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1626 vs Fojtik 1619
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 20% vs Fojtik 40%
Fojtik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 50% vs Fojtik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik -1 · Fojtik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojtik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.80 / Fojtik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12428538
Krupnik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 144 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it72% 107 of 148
Fojtik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 65 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back34% 22 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik7wins
AwayFojtik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik87.5%7 of 8
AwayFojtikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik8Fojtik2n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S2Krupnik5Fojtik5n = 10split evenly
S3Krupnik4Fojtik6n = 10Fojtik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik5Fojtik2n = 7Krupnik took 5 of 7
S5Krupnik2Fojtik1n = 3Krupnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikFojtikK − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.933.9+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikFojtikBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 768 vs 145 / 29351.3%49.5%394 / 768 vs 145 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.80/Fojtik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fojtik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik—116581T. Fojtik—91111113
WJul 30 · 19:45J. Krupnik—1111113T. Fojtik—8870
WJul 12 · 17:40J. Krupnik—117811113T. Fojtik—21111992
WJul 9 · 06:10J. Krupnik—11511113T. Fojtik—711861
WJul 8 · 08:10J. Krupnik—1111113T. Fojtik—6970
WJun 28 · 16:55J. Krupnik—117211113T. Fojtik—71111742
WJun 28 · 15:45J. Krupnik—11119113T. Fojtik—581171
LJun 10 · 06:10J. Krupnik—6970T. Fojtik—1111113
LJun 6 · 18:40J. Krupnik—811111222T. Fojtik—115614113
WJun 5 · 12:10J. Krupnik—11114113T. Fojtik—391141
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
T. Fojtik10
LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113WAug 12 · 08:10T. Krenek1.6746111152T. Fojtik2.10111192113LAug 12 · 07:10T. Fojtik2.205511101J. Skvrna1.6111117123
Upcoming Matches
J. Krupnik
T. Fojtik
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.