TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12427782
Played Aug 14Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911211––––
Tomas Fojtik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Fojtik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Tomas Fojtik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 53 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Tomas Fojtik at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 6–10 Tomas Fojtik Dalibor Velky Jr has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fojtik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Fojtik
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1519 vs Fojtik 1619
Fojtik
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Fojtik 40%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Fojtik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Fojtik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fojtik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojtik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Fojtik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fojtik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12427782
Jr1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Fojtik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayFojtik8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFojtik leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFojtik75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Fojtik8n = 10Fojtik took 8 of 10
S2Jr3Fojtik7n = 10Fojtik took 7 of 10
S3Jr3Fojtik7n = 10Fojtik took 7 of 10
S4Jr2Fojtik4n = 6Fojtik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrFojtikJ − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.840.5−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrFojtikBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 435 vs 145 / 29349.4%49.5%215 / 435 vs 145 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtikJr 1.83/Fojtik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fojtik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fojtik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 09:20D. Jr—1111561T. Fojtik—13811113
LAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr—9920T. Fojtik—1111113
LAug 7 · 12:40D. Jr—8790T. Fojtik—1111113
LAug 7 · 12:10D. Jr—91090T. Fojtik—1112113
WJul 7 · 07:40D. Jr—1621112113T. Fojtik—181131092
WJul 2 · 08:45D. Jr—91111113T. Fojtik—117791
LJul 2 · 08:15D. Jr—118100T. Fojtik—1311123
LJun 29 · 09:15D. Jr—9127131T. Fojtik—111011153
LJun 29 · 08:15D. Jr—118791T. Fojtik—91111113
LJun 6 · 21:09D. Jr—12811762T. Fojtik—1011911113
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471
T. Fojtik10
LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113WAug 12 · 08:10T. Krenek1.6746111152T. Fojtik2.10111192113LAug 12 · 07:10T. Fojtik2.205511101J. Skvrna1.6111117123
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
T. Fojtik
Nothing scheduled
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