TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12408255
Played Aug 12Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411611119112511
Tomas Fojtik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Tomas Fojtik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 81 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 57.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 12–9 Tomas Fojtik Tomas Fojtik has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-9 in 21
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1604 vs Fojtik 1567
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Fojtik 40%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 30% vs Fojtik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -2 · Fojtik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.67 / Fojtik 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krenek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12408255
Krenek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 107 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 72 of 95
Fojtik2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 63 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back33% 21 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwayFojtik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek75%3 of 4
AwayFojtik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek4Fojtik6n = 10Fojtik took 6 of 10
S2Krenek4Fojtik6n = 10Fojtik took 6 of 10
S3Krenek1Fojtik9n = 10Fojtik took 9 of 10
S4Krenek4Fojtik2n = 6Krenek took 4 of 6
S5Krenek3Fojtik0n = 3Krenek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekFojtikK − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.4−0.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekFojtikBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 798 vs 140 / 28749.6%48.8%396 / 798 vs 140 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.67/Fojtik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fojtik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 08:38T. Krenek—8990T. Fojtik—1111113
LAug 10 · 06:10T. Krenek—6670T. Fojtik—1111113
WAug 8 · 14:15T. Krenek—119811113T. Fojtik—91111492
WAug 7 · 11:10T. Krenek—111110113T. Fojtik—981281
WJul 9 · 06:40T. Krenek—1012511113T. Fojtik—121011442
WJul 2 · 05:45T. Krenek—1211118113T. Fojtik—14521162
WJun 10 · 06:40T. Krenek—11116113T. Fojtik—941191
LJun 8 · 12:45T. Krenek—117821T. Fojtik—41111113
LJun 8 · 12:15T. Krenek—96110T. Fojtik—1111133
LJun 3 · 12:10T. Krenek—7690T. Fojtik—1111113
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123
T. Fojtik10
LAug 18 · 08:45T. Fojtik1.731311841M. Raska2.0015711113LAug 18 · 07:45T. Fojtik1.80111176102L. Slavik1.91691111123LAug 18 · 06:45T. Fojtik1.833137131T. Lysek1.83111111153WAug 18 · 05:45T. Fojtik1.7311611113M. Raska2.00811761WAug 14 · 09:20T. Fojtik1.7213811113D. Jr2.001111561WAug 14 · 08:10T. Fojtik2.108101114143D. Pawlik1.671112912122WAug 14 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.80116581T. Fojtik1.9191111113WAug 14 · 06:10D. Jr1.839920T. Fojtik1.831111113LAug 12 · 08:40T. Fojtik2.108280T. Krenek1.651111113LAug 12 · 07:10T. Fojtik2.205511101J. Skvrna1.6111117123
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