TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12445449
Played Aug 16Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111412711211––
Radovan Debnar
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Radovan Debnar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 74 set 4, 2-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 1–3 Radovan Debnar Stepan Rejent has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Debnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Debnar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 2.50 / Debnar 1.50
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Debnar)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12445449
Rejent2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 98 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 64
Debnar1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRejent1wins
AwayDebnar3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderDebnar leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejentn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDebnar75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent0Debnar4n = 4Debnar took 4 of 4
S2Rejent3Debnar1n = 4Rejent took 3 of 4
S3Rejent3Debnar1n = 4Rejent took 3 of 4
S4Rejent2Debnar2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricRejentDebnarR − DBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match41.545.2−3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentDebnarBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 780 vs 66 / 11347.3%58.4%369 / 780 vs 66 / 113Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DebnarRejent 2.50/Debnar 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Debnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Debnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 19:15S. Rejent—9121141R. Debnar—11147113
LAug 5 · 20:43S. Rejent—91113232R. Debnar—1171111113
LAug 5 · 18:45S. Rejent—10121012102R. Debnar—12101210123
WJul 30 · 15:15S. Rejent—51111113R. Debnar—116681
S. Rejent10
WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960
R. Debnar10
LAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880WAug 22 · 15:15D. Gasparovic1.8375130R. Debnar1.831111153WAug 22 · 14:45R. Debnar1.73129711103V. Burylov2.00101111682WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113LAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar1.6111147113S. Rejent2.209121141WAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100
Upcoming Matches
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