TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440973
Played Aug 16Finished
Radovan Debnar
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191412711114––
Stepan Rejent
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeRadovan Debnar to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Debnar above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 79 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Radovan Debnar at 59.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Debnar 4–1 Stepan Rejent Stepan Rejent has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:37What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Debnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Debnar
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Debnar 1781 vs Rejent 1680
Debnar
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Debnar 60% vs Rejent 40%
Debnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Debnar 70% vs Rejent 50%
Debnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Debnar +3 · Rejent +2
Debnar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Debnar) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDebnar 1.61 / Rejent 2.20
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Debnar)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440973
Debnar1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Rejent2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 98 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDebnar4wins
AwayRejent1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDebnar leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDebnar80%4 of 5
AwayRejentn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Debnar5Rejent0n = 5Debnar took 5 of 5
S2Debnar1Rejent4n = 5Rejent took 4 of 5
S3Debnar2Rejent3n = 5Rejent took 3 of 5
S4Debnar3Rejent2n = 5Debnar took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDebnarRejentD − RBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match45.239.0+6.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDebnarRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 114 vs 369 / 78158.8%47.3%67 / 114 vs 369 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DebnarDebnar 1.61/Rejent 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Debnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Debnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 16 · 20:14R. Debnar—111211113S. Rejent—614721
WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar—11147113S. Rejent—9121141
WAug 5 · 20:43R. Debnar—1171111113S. Rejent—91113232
WAug 5 · 18:45R. Debnar—12101210123S. Rejent—10121012102
LJul 30 · 15:15R. Debnar—116681S. Rejent—51111113
R. Debnar10
LAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880WAug 22 · 15:15D. Gasparovic1.8375130R. Debnar1.831111153WAug 22 · 14:45R. Debnar1.73129711103V. Burylov2.00101111682WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113LAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050WAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113WAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100
S. Rejent10
WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342LAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113LAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113
Upcoming Matches
R. Debnar
Nothing scheduled
S. Rejent
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.