TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12441073
Played Aug 16Finished
Radovan Debnar
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191210––––
Zdenek Sedivy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Debnar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Debnar above · Zdenek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Radovan Debnar at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Debnar 4–6 Zdenek Sedivy Radovan Debnar has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Debnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Sedivy
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Debnar 1751 vs Sedivy 1677
Debnar
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Debnar 40% vs Sedivy 60%
Sedivy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Debnar 70% vs Sedivy 50%
Debnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Debnar +2 · Sedivy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Debnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Debnar form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDebnar 1.73 / Sedivy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Debnar)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12441073
Debnar1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Sedivy2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog59% won 24 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back47% 8 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDebnar4wins
AwaySedivy6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSedivy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDebnar66.7%2 of 3
AwaySedivy71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Debnar3Sedivy7n = 10Sedivy took 7 of 10
S2Debnar7Sedivy3n = 10Debnar took 7 of 10
S3Debnar6Sedivy4n = 10Debnar took 6 of 10
S4Debnar2Sedivy5n = 7Sedivy took 5 of 7
S5Debnar1Sedivy2n = 3Sedivy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDebnarSedivyD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.237.0−0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDebnarSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 111 vs 89 / 19457.7%45.9%64 / 111 vs 89 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DebnarDebnar 1.73/Sedivy 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Debnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Debnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 21 · 14:15R. Debnar—121191132Z. Sedivy—148117113
WMar 24 · 15:45R. Debnar—81111113Z. Sedivy—117651
LDec 15 · 16:45R. Debnar—1011461Z. Sedivy—12311113
LDec 8 · 17:45R. Debnar—51112652Z. Sedivy—1181011113
LDec 8 · 16:45R. Debnar—2770Z. Sedivy—1111113
WNov 18 · 16:15R. Debnar—1211143Z. Sedivy—105120
WNov 5 · 17:30R. Debnar—1111103Z. Sedivy—5890
LNov 5 · 15:45R. Debnar—991171Z. Sedivy—11116113
LOct 16 · 20:15R. Debnar—1177101Z. Sedivy—71111123
WOct 16 · 17:45R. Debnar—911117113Z. Sedivy—11631192
R. Debnar10
LAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880WAug 22 · 15:15D. Gasparovic1.8375130R. Debnar1.831111153WAug 22 · 14:45R. Debnar1.73129711103V. Burylov2.00101111682WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113LAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050WAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar1.6111147113S. Rejent2.209121141
Z. Sedivy10
WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 17:45S. Rejent2.5081111123Z. Sedivy1.501195101WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy1.801211113L. Svoboda1.9110770WAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias1.801011891Z. Sedivy1.9112811113LAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr2.00912116123Z. Sedivy1.731110511102WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113LAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias1.80101111113Z. Sedivy1.91128471
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.