TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472357
Played Aug 22Finished
David Gasparovic
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111315––––
Radovan Debnar
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Debnar to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Gasparovic above · Radovan Debnar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 62 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Radovan Debnar at 57.0%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Debnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Gasparovic 1720 vs Debnar 1781
Debnar
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasparovic 60% vs Debnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasparovic 50% vs Debnar 80%
Debnar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasparovic +1 · Debnar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Debnar) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasparovic 1.83 / Debnar 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Debnar)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472357
Gasparovic1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Debnar1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasparovicDebnarBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 139 vs 70 / 11961.2%58.8%85 / 139 vs 70 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DebnarGasparovic 1.83/Debnar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Debnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Debnar won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113
R. Debnar10
LAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880WAug 22 · 14:45R. Debnar1.73129711103V. Burylov2.00101111682WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113LAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050WAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar1.6111147113S. Rejent2.209121141WAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100
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