Radovan Debnar vs Volodymyr Burylov 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12472300

Played Aug 22Finished

Radovan Debnar

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1210911711116108

Volodymyr Burylov

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%

Graded at full time

Radovan Debnar to win

59.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingRadovan Debnar above · Volodymyr Burylov below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 10-8

Point 95 set 5, 10-8 — our read held Radovan Debnar at 59.7%

95 points played in total.

H2H Radovan Debnar 4–6 Volodymyr Burylov Radovan Debnar has won 4 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 20:40

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Debnar

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-6 in 10

Burylov

Wrong

gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Debnar 1794 vs Burylov 1735

Debnar

Correct

both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Debnar 60% vs Burylov 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Debnar 80% vs Burylov 60%

Debnar

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Debnar +1 · Burylov +3

Burylov

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Debnar)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDebnar 1.73 / Burylov 2.00

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Debnar)+6.0pp

Setka Cup · #12472300

Debnar1.73

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite56% won 23 of 41

Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12

Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22

Burylov2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog56% won 48 of 86

Down 0–1, comes back41% 19 of 46

Down 0–2, comes back27% 6 of 22

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDebnar4wins

AwayBurylov6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDebnar40%2 of 5

AwayBurylov60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Debnar5Burylov5n = 10split evenly

S2Debnar5Burylov5n = 10split evenly

S3Debnar5Burylov5n = 10split evenly

S4Debnar2Burylov4n = 6Burylov took 4 of 6

S5Debnar1Burylov2n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricDebnarBurylovD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.9−0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDebnarBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 119 vs 177 / 35358.8%50.1%70 / 119 vs 177 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Debnar

Debnar 1.73/Burylov 2.00

Miss

What we said

59.7%

Debnar · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Debnar won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 21 · 14:15R. Debnar—1111113V. Burylov—9370

LApr 21 · 16:28R. Debnar—119851V. Burylov—61111113

LApr 21 · 15:15R. Debnar—131171162V. Burylov—158117113

WNov 24 · 18:15R. Debnar—1111113V. Burylov—5930

LNov 5 · 16:45R. Debnar—12101081V. Burylov—101212113

LOct 21 · 13:45R. Debnar—4690V. Burylov—1111113

WOct 20 · 20:50R. Debnar—91111113V. Burylov—114991

WOct 20 · 17:15R. Debnar—511119133V. Burylov—111511112

LSep 1 · 17:00R. Debnar—10270V. Burylov—1211113

LSep 1 · 14:15R. Debnar—151013642V. Burylov—13121111113

R. Debnar10

LAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880 WAug 22 · 15:15D. Gasparovic1.8375130R. Debnar1.831111153 WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951 LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193 WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890 WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113 LAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050 WAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113 WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar1.6111147113S. Rejent2.209121141 WAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100

V. Burylov10

WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113 WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133 LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132 WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891 WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113 LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121 LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940 LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113 WAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880

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