TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12476420
Played Aug 22Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118118––––
Radovan Debnar
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Radovan Debnar below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8
62 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 6–4 Radovan Debnar Radovan Debnar has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Debnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Debnar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 2.10 / Debnar 1.67
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Debnar)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12476420
Burylov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog56% won 48 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back41% 19 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back27% 6 of 22
Debnar1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 23 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov6wins
AwayDebnar4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov60%3 of 5
AwayDebnar40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov5Debnar5n = 10split evenly
S2Burylov5Debnar5n = 10split evenly
S3Burylov5Debnar5n = 10split evenly
S4Burylov4Debnar2n = 6Burylov took 4 of 6
S5Burylov2Debnar1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovDebnarB − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.4+0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovDebnarBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 355 vs 72 / 12149.9%59.5%177 / 355 vs 72 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DebnarBurylov 2.10/Debnar 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Debnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 21 · 14:15V. Burylov—9370R. Debnar—1111113
WApr 21 · 16:28V. Burylov—61111113R. Debnar—119851
WApr 21 · 15:15V. Burylov—158117113R. Debnar—131171162
LNov 24 · 18:15V. Burylov—5930R. Debnar—1111113
WNov 5 · 16:45V. Burylov—101212113R. Debnar—12101081
WOct 21 · 13:45V. Burylov—1111113R. Debnar—4690
LOct 20 · 20:50V. Burylov—114991R. Debnar—91111113
LOct 20 · 17:15V. Burylov—111511112R. Debnar—511119133
WSep 1 · 17:00V. Burylov—1211113R. Debnar—10270
WSep 1 · 14:15V. Burylov—13121111113R. Debnar—151013642
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
R. Debnar10
WAug 22 · 15:15D. Gasparovic1.8375130R. Debnar1.831111153WAug 22 · 14:45R. Debnar1.73129711103V. Burylov2.00101111682WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113LAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050WAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar1.6111147113S. Rejent2.209121141WAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100
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