TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462034
Played Aug 20Finished
Tomas Hlavacek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210115––––
Radovan Debnar
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Hlavacek to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hlavacek above · Radovan Debnar below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Hlavacek at 68.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hlavacek 3–0 Radovan Debnar Radovan Debnar has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hlavacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Hlavacek
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlavacek 1887 vs Debnar 1781
Hlavacek
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlavacek 80% vs Debnar 100%
Debnar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlavacek 90% vs Debnar 70%
Hlavacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlavacek -1 · Debnar +5
Debnar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hlavacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Debnar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlavacek 1.40 / Debnar 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Hlavacek)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12462034
Hlavacek1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Debnar2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 5 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHlavacek3wins
AwayDebnar0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHlavacek leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlavacek100%3 of 3
AwayDebnarn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlavacek3Debnar0n = 3Hlavacek took 3 of 3
S2Hlavacek1Debnar2n = 3Debnar took 2 of 3
S3Hlavacek2Debnar1n = 3Hlavacek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHlavacekDebnarH − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match42.036.3+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlavacekDebnarBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 79 vs 67 / 11469.6%58.8%55 / 79 vs 67 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlavacekHlavacek 1.40/Debnar 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Hlavacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hlavacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 21 · 13:15T. Hlavacek—1281011113R. Debnar—101112992
WMar 31 · 12:44T. Hlavacek—1411113R. Debnar—12890
WMar 31 · 11:45T. Hlavacek—11511113R. Debnar—611571
T. Hlavacek10
WAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:15S. Rejent3.4011118432T. Hlavacek1.30651111113WAug 20 · 14:45T. Hlavacek1.3612119113L. Dobias3.001071191LJul 15 · 08:54V. Burylov3.00811811113T. Hlavacek1.3611811882WJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113WJul 15 · 06:45T. Hlavacek1.40111110113V. Burylov2.75991241WJul 15 · 05:45T. Hlavacek1.369111111113L. Dobias3.0011513782WJul 8 · 08:13J. Rochowanski2.631161071T. Hlavacek1.4431112113WJul 8 · 07:15T. Hlavacek1.4081111133J. Rochowanski2.751195111WJul 8 · 06:15T. Hlavacek1.366111111113V. Burylov3.0011713682
R. Debnar10
LAug 22 · 16:55V. Burylov2.101311113R. Debnar1.6711880WAug 22 · 15:15D. Gasparovic1.8375130R. Debnar1.831111153WAug 22 · 14:45R. Debnar1.73129711103V. Burylov2.00101111682WAug 22 · 13:45R. Debnar1.4081111103L. Heinzl2.75117951LAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:45R. Debnar1.671111113L. Dobias2.106890WAug 20 · 14:15S. Rejent2.6310610R. Debnar1.441211113WAug 16 · 20:14S. Rejent2.50614721R. Debnar1.50111211113WAug 16 · 19:15R. Debnar1.6111147113S. Rejent2.209121141WAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100
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