TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12461959
Played Aug 20Finished
Tomas Hlavacek
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117911119––
Ladislav Dobias
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 79.8% is still 79.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Hlavacek to win
79.8%
79.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hlavacek above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Hlavacek at 79.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hlavacek 10–3 Ladislav Dobias Ladislav Dobias has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hlavacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Hlavacek
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlavacek 1897 vs Dobias 1726
Hlavacek
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlavacek 80% vs Dobias 40%
Hlavacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlavacek 90% vs Dobias 40%
Hlavacek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlavacek +1 · Dobias +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Hlavacek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlavacek 1.36 / Dobias 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Hlavacek)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12461959
Hlavacek1.36
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Dobias3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 35 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlavacek8wins
AwayDobias2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHlavacek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlavacek100%5 of 5
AwayDobias40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlavacek5Dobias5n = 10split evenly
S2Hlavacek5Dobias4n = 9Hlavacek took 5 of 9
S3Hlavacek6Dobias3n = 9Hlavacek took 6 of 9
S4Hlavacek5Dobias1n = 6Hlavacek took 5 of 6
S5Hlavacek3Dobias1n = 4Hlavacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlavacekDobiasH − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.4+5.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlavacekDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 80 vs 393 / 70870%55.5%56 / 80 vs 393 / 708Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.741.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlavacekHlavacek 1.36/Dobias 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Hlavacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hlavacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 15 · 05:45T. Hlavacek—9111111113L. Dobias—11513782
WJun 23 · 16:53T. Hlavacek—1111123L. Dobias—97100
LJun 23 · 13:15T. Hlavacek—98111142L. Dobias—111196113
WJun 17 · 14:45T. Hlavacek—61L. Dobias—50
WMay 11 · 15:15T. Hlavacek—1111143L. Dobias—67120
LMay 5 · 13:15T. Hlavacek—5990L. Dobias—1111113
WApr 22 · 09:45T. Hlavacek—119911113L. Dobias—51111412
WApr 14 · 14:45T. Hlavacek—8111110113L. Dobias—11551292
WJan 2 · 09:45T. Hlavacek—111711113L. Dobias—919991
WJan 2 · 06:45T. Hlavacek—81111113L. Dobias—115981
T. Hlavacek10
WAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 15:15S. Rejent3.4011118432T. Hlavacek1.30651111113WAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050LJul 15 · 08:54V. Burylov3.00811811113T. Hlavacek1.3611811882WJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113WJul 15 · 06:45T. Hlavacek1.40111110113V. Burylov2.75991241WJul 15 · 05:45T. Hlavacek1.369111111113L. Dobias3.0011513782WJul 8 · 08:13J. Rochowanski2.631161071T. Hlavacek1.4431112113WJul 8 · 07:15T. Hlavacek1.4081111133J. Rochowanski2.751195111WJul 8 · 06:15T. Hlavacek1.366111111113V. Burylov3.0011713682
L. Dobias10
LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113WAug 25 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.1061111532L. Dobias1.67113811113LJul 15 · 05:45T. Hlavacek1.369111111113L. Dobias3.0011513782
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