TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462065
Played Aug 20Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116115811411311
Tomas Hlavacek
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 79.3% is still 79.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Hlavacek to win
79.3%
79.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Tomas Hlavacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 81 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Tomas Hlavacek at 79.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 0–1 Tomas Hlavacek Stepan Rejent has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Hlavacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1642 vs Hlavacek 1916
Hlavacek
Correct
both rated, 274 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 40% vs Hlavacek 80%
Hlavacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 50% vs Hlavacek 90%
Hlavacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -2 · Hlavacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Hlavacek) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 3.40 / Hlavacek 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Hlavacek)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12462065
Rejent3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 96 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 65
Hlavacek1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRejent0wins
AwayHlavacek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHlavacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRejentHlavacekR − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.044.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentHlavacekBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 784 vs 59 / 8346.7%71.1%366 / 784 vs 59 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.842.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlavacekRejent 3.40/Hlavacek 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Hlavacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hlavacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 15:15S. Rejent—11118432T. Hlavacek—651111113
S. Rejent10
WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960
T. Hlavacek10
WAug 20 · 16:44R. Debnar3.001161617172T. Hlavacek1.368111815193WAug 20 · 14:45T. Hlavacek1.3612119113L. Dobias3.001071191WAug 20 · 13:45T. Hlavacek1.401112113R. Debnar2.7541050LJul 15 · 08:54V. Burylov3.00811811113T. Hlavacek1.3611811882WJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113WJul 15 · 06:45T. Hlavacek1.40111110113V. Burylov2.75991241WJul 15 · 05:45T. Hlavacek1.369111111113L. Dobias3.0011513782WJul 8 · 08:13J. Rochowanski2.631161071T. Hlavacek1.4431112113WJul 8 · 07:15T. Hlavacek1.4081111133J. Rochowanski2.751195111WJul 8 · 06:15T. Hlavacek1.366111111113V. Burylov3.0011713682
Upcoming Matches
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T. Hlavacek
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