TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440647
Played Aug 16Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191151210––
Zdenek Sedivy
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Sedivy to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Zdenek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Zdenek Sedivy at 62.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 2–2 Zdenek Sedivy Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sedivy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1675 vs Sedivy 1689
Sedivy
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Sedivy 80%
Sedivy
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 30% vs Sedivy 50%
Sedivy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -3 · Sedivy +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sedivy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 2.50 / Sedivy 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Sedivy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440647
Rejent2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 98 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 64
Sedivy1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite38% won 14 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRejent2wins
AwaySedivy2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent2Sedivy2n = 4split evenly
S2Rejent2Sedivy2n = 4split evenly
S3Rejent2Sedivy2n = 4split evenly
S4Rejent2Sedivy2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricRejentSedivyR − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.543.8−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 779 vs 89 / 19347.1%46.1%367 / 779 vs 89 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedivyRejent 2.50/Sedivy 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Sedivy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 3 · 20:18S. Rejent—611761Z. Sedivy—11711113
WAug 3 · 17:45S. Rejent—115811113Z. Sedivy—91111972
LJun 24 · 20:13S. Rejent—51113892Z. Sedivy—1141111113
WJun 24 · 17:15S. Rejent—11913113Z. Sedivy—9111191
S. Rejent10
LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123
Z. Sedivy10
WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy1.801211113L. Svoboda1.9110770WAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias1.801011891Z. Sedivy1.9112811113LAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr2.00912116123Z. Sedivy1.731110511102WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113LAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias1.80101111113Z. Sedivy1.91128471
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