TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12357706
Played Aug 4Finished
Zdenek Sedivy
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117117––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Sedivy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Sedivy above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Zdenek Sedivy at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Sedivy 1–1 Lukas Svoboda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sedivy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedivy 1674 vs Svoboda 1649
Sedivy
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedivy 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedivy 30% vs Svoboda 50%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedivy +1 · Svoboda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedivy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedivy 1.80 / Svoboda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedivy)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12357706
Sedivy1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite37% won 13 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it70% 7 of 10
Svoboda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 11 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSedivy1wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSedivySvobodaSedivy − SvobodaBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.035.00.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedivySvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 196 vs 78 / 17245.4%45.4%89 / 196 vs 78 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedivySedivy 1.80/Svoboda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sedivy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sedivy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy—1211113L. Svoboda—10770
LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy—771571L. Svoboda—111113113
Z. Sedivy10
WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100LAug 16 · 17:45S. Rejent2.5081111123Z. Sedivy1.501195101WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias1.801011891Z. Sedivy1.9112811113LAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr2.00912116123Z. Sedivy1.731110511102WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113LAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias1.80101111113Z. Sedivy1.91128471
L. Svoboda10
WAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.8312116123A. Radkovsky1.8310511101WAug 31 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.611111113V. Grubr2.207780LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113WAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113WAug 15 · 06:45M. Kocvara1.6712714642L. Svoboda2.1010111211113LAug 15 · 05:15J. Chalupa1.5311711123L. Svoboda2.386117101LAug 14 · 20:18L. Svoboda1.611151091O. Mezera2.2041112113WAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113
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