TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12357608
Played Aug 4Finished
Ladislav Dobias
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118811911––
Zdenek Sedivy
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Zdenek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ladislav Dobias at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 22–18 Zdenek Sedivy Zdenek Sedivy has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dobias
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-18 in 40
Dobias
Wrong
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobias 1750 vs Sedivy 1660
Dobias
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobias 60% vs Sedivy 20%
Dobias
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobias 60% vs Sedivy 30%
Dobias
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobias +1 · Sedivy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.80 / Sedivy 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dobias)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12357608
Dobias1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 205 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it91% 61 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 140 of 180
Sedivy1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 22 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back47% 8 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias6wins
AwaySedivy4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias100%3 of 3
AwaySedivy57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias3Sedivy7n = 10Sedivy took 7 of 10
S2Dobias8Sedivy2n = 10Dobias took 8 of 10
S3Dobias6Sedivy4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S4Dobias3Sedivy4n = 7Sedivy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasSedivyD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.934.5+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 665 vs 88 / 19555.3%45.1%368 / 665 vs 88 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasDobias 1.80/Sedivy 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sedivy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias—1011891Z. Sedivy—12811113
WAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias—101111113Z. Sedivy—128471
WJul 27 · 18:15L. Dobias—91111113Z. Sedivy—118951
LJun 10 · 18:15L. Dobias—911491Z. Sedivy—11511113
WJun 3 · 20:43L. Dobias—1311123Z. Sedivy—117100
WJun 3 · 19:45L. Dobias—81111113Z. Sedivy—118751
LMay 19 · 16:18L. Dobias—119110Z. Sedivy—1311133
WMay 19 · 15:15L. Dobias—1112113Z. Sedivy—91070
LMay 11 · 16:23L. Dobias—5111011Z. Sedivy—11312113
WMay 11 · 14:45L. Dobias—115116113Z. Sedivy—91181132
L. Dobias10
LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113WAug 25 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.1061111532L. Dobias1.67113811113LAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias1.61111091152M. Zelinka2.20912113113
Z. Sedivy10
WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100LAug 16 · 17:45S. Rejent2.5081111123Z. Sedivy1.501195101WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy1.801211113L. Svoboda1.9110770LAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr2.00912116123Z. Sedivy1.731110511102WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113LAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias1.80101111113Z. Sedivy1.91128471
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.