TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12353037
Played Aug 3Finished
Ladislav Dobias
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118114117––
Zdenek Sedivy
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Zdenek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ladislav Dobias at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 22–17 Zdenek Sedivy Zdenek Sedivy has won 17 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dobias
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-17 in 39
Dobias
Correct
gap of 5 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobias 1735 vs Sedivy 1650
Dobias
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobias 20% vs Sedivy 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobias 40% vs Sedivy 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobias -2 · Sedivy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.80 / Sedivy 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dobias)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12353037
Dobias1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 203 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it91% 59 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it78% 138 of 177
Sedivy1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog58% won 22 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back47% 8 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias6wins
AwaySedivy4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias100%3 of 3
AwaySedivy57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias3Sedivy7n = 10Sedivy took 7 of 10
S2Dobias8Sedivy2n = 10Dobias took 8 of 10
S3Dobias6Sedivy4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S4Dobias3Sedivy4n = 7Sedivy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasSedivyD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.934.4+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 657 vs 86 / 19155.3%45%363 / 657 vs 86 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasDobias 1.80/Sedivy 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias—101111113Z. Sedivy—128471
WJul 27 · 18:15L. Dobias—91111113Z. Sedivy—118951
LJun 10 · 18:15L. Dobias—911491Z. Sedivy—11511113
WJun 3 · 20:43L. Dobias—1311123Z. Sedivy—117100
WJun 3 · 19:45L. Dobias—81111113Z. Sedivy—118751
LMay 19 · 16:18L. Dobias—119110Z. Sedivy—1311133
WMay 19 · 15:15L. Dobias—1112113Z. Sedivy—91070
LMay 11 · 16:23L. Dobias—5111011Z. Sedivy—11312113
WMay 11 · 14:45L. Dobias—115116113Z. Sedivy—91181132
LMay 5 · 16:44L. Dobias—9111081Z. Sedivy—11712113
L. Dobias10
LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113WAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113WAug 25 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.1061111532L. Dobias1.67113811113LAug 25 · 07:45L. Dobias1.61111091152M. Zelinka2.20912113113
Z. Sedivy10
WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100LAug 16 · 17:45S. Rejent2.5081111123Z. Sedivy1.501195101WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy1.801211113L. Svoboda1.9110770WAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias1.801011891Z. Sedivy1.9112811113LAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr2.00912116123Z. Sedivy1.731110511102WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113
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