TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12357631
Played Aug 4Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112101156111210
Zdenek Sedivy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeZdenek Sedivy to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Zdenek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Zdenek Sedivy at 54.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 10–6 Zdenek Sedivy Zdenek Sedivy has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:07What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedivy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Sr
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1765 vs Sedivy 1652
Sr
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 100% vs Sedivy 40%
Sr
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 70% vs Sedivy 30%
Sr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +5 · Sedivy +1
Sr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedivy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedivy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 2.00 / Sedivy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sedivy)+0.5pp
Setka Cup · #12357631
Sr2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 52 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Sedivy1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite37% won 13 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it70% 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr6wins
AwaySedivy4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr57.1%4 of 7
AwaySedivy33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr7Sedivy3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Sr4Sedivy6n = 10Sedivy took 6 of 10
S3Sr6Sedivy4n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Sr5Sedivy4n = 9Sr took 5 of 9
S5Sr2Sedivy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrSedivySr − SedivyBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.940.8+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 695 vs 87 / 19356.6%45.1%393 / 695 vs 87 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedivySr 2.00/Sedivy 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Sedivy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 19:15J. Sr—11611113Z. Sedivy—911591
WJun 24 · 19:15J. Sr—41111113Z. Sedivy—119381
WJun 17 · 14:15J. Sr—1161011103Z. Sedivy—61112892
LJun 3 · 18:15J. Sr—1151061Z. Sedivy—91112113
LMay 27 · 16:23J. Sr—116581Z. Sedivy—91111113
WMay 27 · 13:45J. Sr—911159123Z. Sedivy—1191311102
WMay 19 · 13:45J. Sr—11911113Z. Sedivy—911961
LMay 5 · 13:45J. Sr—101181192Z. Sedivy—126119113
WApr 28 · 20:13J. Sr—1111133Z. Sedivy—59110
LApr 28 · 18:15J. Sr—11311882Z. Sedivy—811811113
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113
Z. Sedivy10
WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100LAug 16 · 17:45S. Rejent2.5081111123Z. Sedivy1.501195101WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy1.801211113L. Svoboda1.9110770WAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias1.801011891Z. Sedivy1.9112811113WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761LAug 3 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.80771571L. Svoboda1.91111113113LAug 3 · 18:15L. Dobias1.80101111113Z. Sedivy1.91128471
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