TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12432032
Played Aug 14Finished
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111199111214––
Martin Filipek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Muhlhauser to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Muhlhauser above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 82 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Zdenek Muhlhauser at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Muhlhauser 0–1 Martin Filipek Zdenek Muhlhauser has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:20What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Filipek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Muhlhauser 1530 vs Filipek 1479
Muhlhauser
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Muhlhauser 60% vs Filipek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Muhlhauser 70% vs Filipek 50%
Muhlhauser
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Muhlhauser -1 · Filipek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Filipek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuhlhauser 2.00 / Filipek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Filipek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12432032
Muhlhauser2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 22 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Filipek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 36 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMuhlhauser0wins
AwayFilipek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFilipek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMuhlhauserFilipekM − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.049.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuhlhauserFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 101 vs 244 / 55950.5%43.7%51 / 101 vs 244 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilipekMuhlhauser 2.00/Filipek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Filipek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 14 · 16:25Z. Muhlhauser—12671192M. Filipek—1011116113
Z. Muhlhauser10
WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser1.4439121282O. Knazik2.6311111010113LAug 14 · 18:04Z. Muhlhauser1.73117881J. Cousin2.0031111113LAug 14 · 15:55D. Tichy1.801111113Z. Muhlhauser1.919470
M. Filipek10
WSep 7 · 10:04R. Muller1.836470M. Filipek1.831111113LSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121
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