TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12435349
Played Aug 14Finished
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113711811811––
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingZdenek Muhlhauser above · Jean-Baptiste Cousin below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-10
Point 69 set 4, 8-10
69 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Zdenek Muhlhauser 6–5 Jean-Baptiste Cousin Jean-Baptiste Cousin has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Muhlhauser)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cousin form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuhlhauser 1.73 / Cousin 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12435349
Muhlhauser1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 24 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Cousin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuhlhauser5wins
AwayCousin5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuhlhausern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCousin44.4%4 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muhlhauser1Cousin9n = 10Cousin took 9 of 10
S2Muhlhauser4Cousin6n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S3Muhlhauser7Cousin3n = 10Muhlhauser took 7 of 10
S4Muhlhauser5Cousin4n = 9Muhlhauser took 5 of 9
S5Muhlhauser3Cousin1n = 4Muhlhauser took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMuhlhauserCousinM − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match40.043.2−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuhlhauserCousinBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 102 vs 235 / 44050%53.4%51 / 102 vs 235 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserMuhlhauser 1.73/Cousin 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cousin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 15:25Z. Muhlhauser—661111113J. Cousin—11116962
LJun 14 · 15:25Z. Muhlhauser—741231J. Cousin—111110113
WApr 26 · 10:09Z. Muhlhauser—131111113J. Cousin—157471
WApr 26 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser—713411133J. Cousin—1111118112
LApr 23 · 22:28Z. Muhlhauser—6121181J. Cousin—11147113
WApr 23 · 19:25Z. Muhlhauser—91111123J. Cousin—1188101
LApr 19 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser—7740J. Cousin—1111113
WApr 16 · 16:55Z. Muhlhauser—711116113J. Cousin—11781162
LFeb 6 · 22:25Z. Muhlhauser—118121162J. Cousin—1311108113
LJan 31 · 08:25Z. Muhlhauser—1158191J. Cousin—91111213
Z. Muhlhauser10
WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser1.4439121282O. Knazik2.6311111010113LAug 14 · 17:25Z. Muhlhauser2.005119121M. Filipek1.7311911143LAug 14 · 15:55D. Tichy1.801111113Z. Muhlhauser1.919470
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113
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