TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12472959
Played Aug 22Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911711––––
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeZdenek Muhlhauser to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Zdenek Muhlhauser at 72.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 0–5 Zdenek Muhlhauser Tomas Rein has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Muhlhauser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Muhlhauser
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1445 vs Muhlhauser 1586
Muhlhauser
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 60% vs Muhlhauser 80%
Muhlhauser
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 40% vs Muhlhauser 60%
Muhlhauser
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -1 · Muhlhauser +4
Muhlhauser
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Muhlhauser) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 3.00 / Muhlhauser 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12472959
Rein3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 94 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 86
Muhlhauser1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 24 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRein0wins
AwayMuhlhauser5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMuhlhauser100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein1Muhlhauser4n = 5Muhlhauser took 4 of 5
S2Rein1Muhlhauser4n = 5Muhlhauser took 4 of 5
S3Rein1Muhlhauser4n = 5Muhlhauser took 4 of 5
S4Rein1Muhlhauser2n = 3Muhlhauser took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricReinMuhlhauserR − MBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match27.038.6−11.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 827 vs 56 / 10946.8%51.4%387 / 827 vs 56 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserRein 3.00/Muhlhauser 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein—8970Z. Muhlhauser—1111113
LJul 27 · 15:25T. Rein—7570Z. Muhlhauser—1111113
LMay 29 · 20:25T. Rein—671111102Z. Muhlhauser—111193123
LMay 18 · 18:05T. Rein—116281Z. Muhlhauser—91111113
LMay 18 · 15:55T. Rein—511131Z. Muhlhauser—11611113
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
Z. Muhlhauser10
WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser1.4439121282O. Knazik2.6311111010113LAug 14 · 18:04Z. Muhlhauser1.73117881J. Cousin2.0031111113LAug 14 · 17:25Z. Muhlhauser2.005119121M. Filipek1.7311911143LAug 14 · 15:55D. Tichy1.801111113Z. Muhlhauser1.919470
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