TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12439452
Played Aug 15Finished
Ondrej Knazik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1618711113117611
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOndrej Knazik above · Zdenek Muhlhauser below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11
101 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Knazik 2–10 Zdenek Muhlhauser Ondrej Knazik has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Muhlhauser)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muhlhauser form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKnazik 2.20 / Muhlhauser 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12439452
Knazik2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Muhlhauser1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 25 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKnazik2wins
AwayMuhlhauser8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKnazik20%1 of 5
AwayMuhlhauser80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Knazik5Muhlhauser5n = 10split evenly
S2Knazik3Muhlhauser7n = 10Muhlhauser took 7 of 10
S3Knazik2Muhlhauser8n = 10Muhlhauser took 8 of 10
S4Knazik1Muhlhauser5n = 6Muhlhauser took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKnazikMuhlhauserK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.338.6−7.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKnazikMuhlhauserBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 886 vs 53 / 10651.2%50%454 / 886 vs 53 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserKnazik 2.20/Muhlhauser 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Muhlhauser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 7 · 10:55O. Knazik—11171232Z. Muhlhauser—9111110113
LMay 31 · 17:58O. Knazik—1111051Z. Muhlhauser—71112113
WMay 31 · 16:25O. Knazik—9111111113Z. Muhlhauser—11871342
LMay 29 · 22:40O. Knazik—118981Z. Muhlhauser—91111113
LMay 29 · 18:55O. Knazik—811931Z. Muhlhauser—11711113
LApr 23 · 20:25O. Knazik—11650Z. Muhlhauser—1311113
LApr 19 · 12:25O. Knazik—1670Z. Muhlhauser—1111113
LMar 28 · 12:25O. Knazik—6950Z. Muhlhauser—1111113
WFeb 22 · 12:25O. Knazik—1113113Z. Muhlhauser—51170
LFeb 22 · 10:25O. Knazik—11119101Z. Muhlhauser—81311123
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113WAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192
Z. Muhlhauser10
WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser1.4439121282O. Knazik2.6311111010113LAug 14 · 18:04Z. Muhlhauser1.73117881J. Cousin2.0031111113LAug 14 · 17:25Z. Muhlhauser2.005119121M. Filipek1.7311911143LAug 14 · 15:55D. Tichy1.801111113Z. Muhlhauser1.919470
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.