Zdenek Muhlhauser vs Petr Vodal 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12475091

Played Aug 22Finished

Zdenek Muhlhauser

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1191311911119––

Petr Vodal

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingZdenek Muhlhauser above · Petr Vodal below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 84 set 4, 11-9

84 points played in total.

H2H Zdenek Muhlhauser 1–3 Petr Vodal Zdenek Muhlhauser has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 1–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Muhlhauser)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Muhlhauser form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMuhlhauser 1.80 / Vodal 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Muhlhauser)+2.5pp

TT Cup · #12475091

Muhlhauser1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite59% won 24 of 41

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19

Vodal1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog48% won 43 of 90

Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45

Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeMuhlhauser1wins

AwayVodal3wins

2 of 4 to a deciderVodal leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Muhlhauser2Vodal2n = 4split evenly

S2Muhlhauser3Vodal1n = 4Muhlhauser took 3 of 4

S3Muhlhauser2Vodal2n = 4split evenly

S4Muhlhauser1Vodal2n = 3Vodal took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home125%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away250%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricMuhlhauserVodalM − VBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.537.8+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMuhlhauserVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 110 vs 241 / 47150.9%51.2%56 / 110 vs 241 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Muhlhauser

Muhlhauser 1.80/Vodal 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Muhlhauser won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser—71151192P. Vodal—113116113

WAug 15 · 12:25Z. Muhlhauser—1111113P. Vodal—9650

LJan 25 · 11:10Z. Muhlhauser—61111652P. Vodal—119611113

LJan 25 · 08:55Z. Muhlhauser—1199101P. Vodal—71111123

Z. Muhlhauser10

LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113 WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113 WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113 WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113 WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113 WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113 LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser1.4439121282O. Knazik2.6311111010113 LAug 14 · 18:04Z. Muhlhauser1.73117881J. Cousin2.0031111113 LAug 14 · 17:25Z. Muhlhauser2.005119121M. Filipek1.7311911143 LAug 14 · 15:55D. Tichy1.801111113Z. Muhlhauser1.919470

P. Vodal10

LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192 LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690 LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113 WAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113 LAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113

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