TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12436672
Played Aug 15Finished
Zdenek Muhlhauser
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
31191112101210811
Ondrej Knazik
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Muhlhauser to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Muhlhauser above · Ondrej Knazik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Zdenek Muhlhauser at 68.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Muhlhauser 12–4 Ondrej Knazik Ondrej Knazik has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Muhlhauser
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Muhlhauser
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Muhlhauser 1570 vs Knazik 1575
Knazik
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Muhlhauser 40% vs Knazik 60%
Knazik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Muhlhauser 50% vs Knazik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Muhlhauser -3 · Knazik +1
Muhlhauser
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Muhlhauser)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Knazik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuhlhauser 1.44 / Knazik 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Muhlhauser)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12436672
Muhlhauser1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 25 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Knazik2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuhlhauser7wins
AwayKnazik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuhlhauser66.7%4 of 6
AwayKnazik25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muhlhauser6Knazik4n = 10Muhlhauser took 6 of 10
S2Muhlhauser5Knazik5n = 10split evenly
S3Muhlhauser7Knazik3n = 10Muhlhauser took 7 of 10
S4Muhlhauser6Knazik3n = 9Muhlhauser took 6 of 9
S5Muhlhauser2Knazik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMuhlhauserKnazikM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.1+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuhlhauserKnazikBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 107 vs 454 / 88750.5%51.2%54 / 107 vs 454 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuhlhauserMuhlhauser 1.44/Knazik 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Muhlhauser · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Knazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 14:35Z. Muhlhauser—181137113O. Knazik—167111162
LAug 15 · 11:25Z. Muhlhauser—39121282O. Knazik—11111010113
LJun 27 · 10:30Z. Muhlhauser—116971O. Knazik—91111113
WJun 27 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser—11811163O. Knazik—9118141
WJun 7 · 10:55Z. Muhlhauser—9111110113O. Knazik—11171232
WMay 31 · 17:58Z. Muhlhauser—71112113O. Knazik—1111051
LMay 31 · 16:25Z. Muhlhauser—11871342O. Knazik—9111111113
WMay 29 · 22:40Z. Muhlhauser—91111113O. Knazik—118981
WMay 29 · 18:55Z. Muhlhauser—11711113O. Knazik—811931
WApr 23 · 20:25Z. Muhlhauser—1311113O. Knazik—11650
Z. Muhlhauser10
WAug 22 · 10:33Z. Muhlhauser1.8011139113P. Vodal1.919111191LAug 22 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.5371151192P. Vodal2.38113116113WAug 22 · 07:55T. Rein3.008970Z. Muhlhauser1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:25A. Jr2.3811740Z. Muhlhauser1.531311113WAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113WAug 15 · 12:55J. Dohnal2.3811114842Z. Muhlhauser1.53661111113WAug 15 · 12:25P. Vodal1.579650Z. Muhlhauser2.251111113LAug 14 · 18:04Z. Muhlhauser1.73117881J. Cousin2.0031111113LAug 14 · 17:25Z. Muhlhauser2.005119121M. Filipek1.7311911143LAug 14 · 15:55D. Tichy1.801111113Z. Muhlhauser1.919470
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113WAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 15 · 14:35O. Knazik2.20167111162Z. Muhlhauser1.61181137113
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